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2024-12-13 05:31:33
Guotai Junan: A shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. Recently, Guotai Junan's 2025 strategy meeting will be held in Shenzhen. The conference made an in-depth discussion and comprehensive outlook on the hot topics of market concern and the investment strategy in 2025. Fang Yi, chief strategist of Guotai Junan, said in an interview that the bottom of the A-share market has emerged, which is optimistic about the prospects of China stock market. The key driving force for the market to start comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference. After a long period of continuous adjustment, the pessimistic expectation and microstructure of A-shares are fully clarified, and the positive signal of decision-makers to steady economic growth and support the capital market is an important cornerstone for the upward revision of long-term expectations and the elevation of the bottom of the stock market. Looking forward to the A-share market in 2025, Fang Yi said that there is still room for the optimistic policy expectation at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, and A-shares are expected to go out of the New Year's market. However, in the case of rising geopolitical conflict risks, the stock index may face a staged headwind. However, as the market stabilizes and revises the economic and policy expectations, the stock index is expected to strengthen again in the second half of 2025. (shanghai securities news)Goldman Sachs upgraded Societe Generale to neutral. Chris Hallam, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, had a previous rating of sell. The target price is 29.25 euros, which is 9% higher.
Meta's Instagram said that its service has returned to normal after the interruption. According to Downdetector.com, a network status tracking website, after thousands of users encountered technical problems when accessing the Instagram platform on Wednesday, Instagram said that its service was back online. During the peak period of failure, which started around 12:50 pm EST, Facebook reported more than 100,000 failures and Instagram reported nearly 70,000 failures. As of 6: 00 pm EST, the number of reports from these two applications has dropped to more than 1,000. Downdetector data is based on reports submitted by users. The actual number of users affected may vary.Economic Daily: "Stabilizing the stock market" strongly guides stabilizing expectations. The article said that the key to stabilizing the stock market is to stabilize confidence. Recently, the stock market has been active in trading, and investors' confidence in the economic improvement and corporate profits has improved. All parties look forward to leveraging the stock market as the entry point to further stabilize the economy and steady growth. This expectation can only form a continuous positive feedback if it is mutually reinforced with the positive signals on the economic side. In the future, it is necessary to continue to improve the forward-looking, targeted and effective macro-control, urge all localities and departments to implement the defined policies and measures as soon as possible, solidly promote the economic upward, structural improvement and sustained development, and promote confidence boost and a virtuous circle and spiral rise in economic fundamentals.CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.
Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shentong Metro Group. According to the news of Shentong Metro Group, on the afternoon of December 11th, Shentong Metro Group held a leadership adjustment announcement meeting. At the meeting, the Organization Department of the Municipal Party Committee announced that Cai Weidong was appointed as the deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd., and Ge Shiping was removed from the post of deputy secretary of the Party Committee of Shanghai Shentong Metro Group Co., Ltd.Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.Chief Financial Officer of Uber: "Very confident". At least in the first few quarters of 2025, the mobile business will grow at a rate of "10% to 20%".